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The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining title fight between Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns. Here’s a complete preview, including updated UFC odds and our betting pick.

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Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns

UFC welterweight championship fight

Ufc 228 Betting Odds Predictions

Saturday, February 13, 2021 – 10:00 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

In the main event of the evening, Kamaru Usman defends his UFC welterweight title against Gilbert Burns. UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. A limited number of fans will be in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.

Kamaru Usman

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Kamaru Usman was born in Auchi Nigeria and his family moved to the United States when he was five years old. He started wrestling at Bowie High School in Arlington, Texas and was a three-time NCAA All-American and the NCAA Division II National Champion in 2010.

“The Nigeran Nightmare” made his professional MMA debut in 2012 and won The Ultimate Fighter 21, submitting Hayder Hassan in the second round on July 12th, 2015. Usman is a physical force that has dominated everyone he’s faced. He won his first nine fights in the UFC before beating Tyron Woodley for the UFC welterweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 235 on March 2nd, 2019.

Usman’s current 12-fight win streak saw him go from an unknown to one of the most dominant champions in the promotion. Usman has not lost many rounds in his career but his rise wasn’t easy. This is a special fighter that has wins against Sean Strickland, Sergio Moraes, Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos, Tyron Woodley and Colby Covington. In his last fight, he beat Jorge Masvidal via unanimous decision to retain his UFC welterweight title at UFC 251 on July 11th.

• Born: May 11th, 1987
• Age: 33
• Country: United States
• Height: 6’0″
• Weight: 155 lbs
• Reach: 76″
• Stance: Switch
• Association: Hard Knocks 365
• Class: Welterweight
• Record: 17-1

Stats

Octagon Strengths

• Physical strength
• Dangerous striker
• Excellent wrestler and boxer
• Solid takedown defense

Octagon Weaknesses

• Tends to rush things, may eat extra counter shots

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Gilbert Burns

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Gilbert Burns is one of the fastest rising welterweights in MMA and now he can dethrone his former sparring partner to win the UFC welterweight title. Burns had no problem calling out Usman after his impressive unanimous decision victory against former champion Tyron Woodley at UFC on ESPN 9 on May 30th. On top of that showing, Burns being the only fighter to ever knock out the legendary Demian Maia meant that it was only a matter of time before he would get a title opportunity.

Born and raised in Brazil, 'Durinho' was encouraged to purse competitive sports by his dad, who received three months of Jiu-Jitsu lessons as payment for fixing a customer's car. Burns has a Jiu-Jitsu black belt under Rafael 'Fofitio' and is regarded as one of the top grappling competitors of his generation. He held that status before switching his career focus to mixed martial arts, a transition that occurred after winning the International Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Federation (IBJJF) World title in 2011.

• Born: July 20th, 1986
• Age: 34
• Country: Brazil
• Height: 5’10″
• Weight: 170 lbs
• Reach: 71″
• Stance: Orthodox
• Association: Hard Knocks 365
• Class: Welterweight
• Record: 19-3

Stats

Octagon Strengths

• Kickboxing ability
• His five-round war with Paul Felder prepared him for Poirier
• Reach advantage

Octagon Weaknesses

• Trouble dealing with boxers

Prediction

The third time is the charm. This fight was supposed to take place at UFC 251 and then UFC 256 it fell apart both times. Burns posses a considerable threat to Usman. “Me and Kamaru had over 200 rounds sparring, at least,” Burns told MMA Junkie. “We started training together in 2012 in Blackzillians. Then Blackzillians broke down, they disappeared, so we moved with Henri Hooft. We went to a place called Combat Club. Then we were there for almost a year, and then we opened up the Hard Knocks. We were at Hard Knocks for two years. Then we moved to Sanford MMA and then we been in Sanford for a total of two years. So I’ve trained with Kamaru for seven years and we both love to train.

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“He was a good training partner for me and I was good partner for him. Just sparring sessions, over 200. And just the grappling sessions, plus the wrestling sessions, for sure I have so many hours on the mat with Kamaru. We know each other very well.”

Look for Burns to come out eager to end the fight early with an early submission or technical knockout, which is easier said than done against someone like Usman. Usman's offensive grappling has overcome many welterweight challengers and that game plan shouldn't change. There are too many variables to consider. It will be an even fight and Burns knows how to beat Usman. The question is, can he successfully put that knowledge into practice? I can see this fight going the distance, so I will take a chance on the Over.

Ufc 228 Odds

My Pick:Over 4.5 rounds (-140) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.

Ufc 228 Betting Odds 2019